Introduction to Bass diffusion model
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The Bass diffusion model is a well-established model of innovation and technology adoption in the market. It can be described by the following formulation:
The solution of Equation (1) is as follows:
To include marketing effort factors in the diffusion model, Bass introduced the generalized Bass model (GBM). The GBM is described as follows:
Assuming X(0)= 0, Solution to GBM becomes:
Example: Using Bass Model Estimates for Forecasting
Example: link: https://srdas.github.io/MLBook/productForecastingBassModel.html